URussell: Ukuhla kwexabiso lentsimbi kuthethelelwe ngokuphucula unikezelo, ulawulo lwentsimbi yaseChina

Umfanekiso weStokhwe.

Intsimbi yentsimbi iyakhawulezaukuhlehlakwiiveki zamva nje lubonisa kwakhona ukuba ukutsalwa kwexabiso kusenokungalawuleki njengokuchwayita kweendibano, phambi kokuba iziseko zobonelelo kunye nemfuno ziphinde ziziqinisekise.

Ngokuxhomekeke kwixabiso lexabiso lentsimbi yokwenza isithako esisetyenzisiweyo, ixabiso liye lehla phakathi kwe-32.1% kunye ne-44% ukususela kwixesha eliphakamileyo elifikeleleke ngoMeyi 12 walo nyaka.

Ukunyuka kwirekhodi kuye kwaba nabaqhubi abasisiseko, oko kukuthi, ukubonelela ngothintelo kubathengisi bangaphandle abaphezulu e-Australia nase-Brazil kunye nemfuno emandla evela e-China, ethenga malunga nama-70% entsimbi ekrwada yehlabathi.

Kodwa ukutsiba kweepesenti ezingama-51 kwixabiso lentsimbi ekrwada ukuze zisiwe emantla eTshayina, njengoko kuvavanywa yi-arhente yengxelo yexabiso lemveliso i-Argus, kwiiveki nje ezisixhenxe ukusuka nge-23 kaMatshi ukuya kwirekhodi ephezulu ye-235.55 yeedola nge-12 kaMeyi yayihlala isiya. kuba kude kakhulu kuneziseko zentengiso ezithethelelekayo.

Isantya sokuwa kwe-44% elandelayo ukuya kutsho phantsi kwamva nje kwe-131.80 yeedola ngetoni kwixabiso lendawo nayo mhlawumbi ayithethelelwanga zizinto ezisisiseko, nokuba indlela eya kumaxabiso aphantsi ifanelekile ngokupheleleyo.

Ubonelelo oluvela e-Australia luzinzile njengoko impembelelo yokuphazamiseka kwemozulu yangaphambili yaphela, ngelixa ukuthunyelwa kwe-Brazil kuqalisa ukuhambela phezulu njengoko imveliso yelizwe ibuyela kwiziphumo zobhubhani we-coronavirus.

I-Australia isendleleni yokuhambisa i-74.04 yezigidi zeetoni ngo-Agasti, ngokwedatha evela kubahlalutyi bempahla ye-Kpler, ukusuka kwi-72.48 yezigidi ngoJulayi, kodwa ngaphantsi kweenyanga ezintandathu eziphezulu ze-78.53 yezigidi ngoJuni.

IBrazil iqikelelwa ukuba izothumela ngaphandle i-30.70 yezigidi zeetoni ngo-Agasti, ukusuka kwi-30.43 yezigidi ngoJulayi kwaye ngokuhambelana ne-30.72 yezigidi zikaJuni, ngokutsho kukaKpler.

Kuyaphawuleka ukuba ukuthunyelwa kwe-Brazil kumazwe angaphandle kuye kwaphinda kwavela ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka, xa bengaphantsi kwe-30 yezigidi zeetoni rhoqo ngenyanga ukusuka ngoJanuwari ukuya kuMeyi.

Umfanekiso wobonelelo oluphuculweyo ubonakaliswa kumanani angeniswayo eTshayina, kunye noKpler ulindele i-113.94 yezigidi zeetoni ukuba ifike ngo-Agasti, eya kuba yirekhodi eliphezulu, idlula i-112.65 yezigidi ezichazwe ngamasiko aseChina ngoJulayi wonyaka ophelileyo.

I-Refinitiv inamandla ngakumbi ekuthengisweni kwemveliso yaseTshayina ngo-Agasti, iqikelela ukuba i-115.98 yezigidi zeetoni iya kufika kule nyanga, i-31% enyukayo ukusuka kwinani elisemthethweni le-88.51 yezigidi ngoJulayi.

Amanani ahlanganiswe ngabacebisi abafana ne-Kpler kunye ne-Refinitiv awahambelani ncam nedatha yesithethe, xa kunikwa umahluko xa imithwalo ivavanywa njengekhutshiweyo kwaye yacocwa ngamasiko, kodwa ukungafani kuthande ukuba kuncinci.

Uqeqesho lwentsimbi

Elinye icala lengqekembe yentsimbi yimveliso yentsimbi yaseTshayina, kwaye apha kubonakala kucacile ukuba umyalelo weBeijing wokuba imveliso ye-2021 ayifanele idlule irekhodi ye-1.065 yeetoni zeebhiliyoni ukusuka kwi-2020 ekugqibeleni iyathotyelwa.

Imveliso yentsimbi ekrwada kaJulayi yehle yaya kutsho kweyona iphantsi ukusukela ngo-Epreli ka-2020, ingena kwi-86.79 yezigidi zeetoni, yehle nge-7.6% ukusuka ngoJuni.

I-avareji yemveliso yemihla ngemihla ngoJulayi yayiyi-2.8 yezigidi zeetoni, kwaye kusenokwenzeka ukuba iyancipha ngakumbi ngo-Agasti, kunye ne-arhente yeendaba esemthethweni ye-Xinhua ingxelo ngo-Agasti 16 ukuba imveliso yemihla ngemihla "ekuqaleni kuka-Agasti" yayiyi-2.04 yezigidi zeetoni ngosuku.

Enye into ekufanele iqwalaselwe kukuba uluhlu lwempahla yentsimbi yaseTshayina kumazibuko luphinde lwanyuka kwiveki ephelileyo, lunyuke lwaya kutsho kwi-128.8 yezigidi zeetoni kwiintsuku ezisixhenxe ukuya kuma-20 ka-Agasti.

Ngoku zizigidi ezili-11.6 zeetoni ngaphezulu kwenqanaba leveki enye ngo-2020, kwaye zinyuka ukusuka kumantla ehlotyeni aphantsi kwe-124.0 yezigidi ngeveki ukuya kwi-25 kaJuni.

Umgangatho otofotofo woluhlu lweempahla, kunye nokuba nokwenzeka ukuba baya kulwakha ngakumbi xa kujongwe uqikelelo luka-Agasti lokungeniswa kwamanye amazwe, sesinye isizathu sokuba amaxabiso entsimbi ahlehle.

Ngokubanzi, iimeko ezimbini eziyimfuneko zokutsalwa kwentsimbi kwintsimbi ekrwada ziye zahlangatyezwa, ezizezi, ukunyuka kobonelelo kunye noqeqesho lokuphuma kwentsimbi eTshayina.

Ukuba ezi zinto zimbini ziyaqhubeka, kusenokwenzeka ukuba amaxabiso aya kuba phantsi koxinzelelo olongezelelweyo, ngakumbi kuba ekupheleni kwe-140.55 yeetoni ngeetoni ngo-Agasti 20, ahlala engaphezulu koluhlu lwamaxabiso malunga ne-40 yeedola ukuya kwi-140 ekhoyo ukusuka ku-Agasti 2013 ukuya kuNovemba wonyaka ophelileyo. .

Ngapha koko, ngaphandle kwe-spike emfutshane yemfuno yehlobo ngo-2019, intsimbi ekrwada yayingaphantsi kweedola ezili-100 ngetoni ukusuka ngoMeyi ka-2014 ukuya kuMeyi ka-2020.

Into engaziwayo yentsimbi ekrwada luluphi utshintsho kumgaqo-nkqubo iBeijing enokuthi ithathelwe, kunye nentelekelelo yentengiso yokuba iimpompo zokuvuselela ziya kuvulwa kwakhona ukunqanda ukukhula koqoqosho ukucotha kakhulu.

Kule meko, kusenokwenzeka ukuba iinkxalabo zongcoliseko ziya kubekwa kwindawo yesibini ekukhuleni, kwaye amashishini entsimbi aya kuphinda akhuphe imveliso, kodwa le meko isekwindawo yoqikelelo.

(Ukuhlelwa nguRichard Pullin)